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Sep 19 14:20 UTC
54min Forecast
3-Day Forecast

Reykjavík   🌥   10.2°C   Sunset 19:40   Sunrise 07:01   Sun°: 26.26°

Darkness from   Sufficient darkness to see the Aurora from 21:02 Iceland local time.

Current Northern Lights Conditions in Iceland

Kp5-6

The current Aurora is a Kp5-6 (on a scale of 0-9) and will cover all of Iceland from 17:00. Viewed from Reykjavík, when active, the Aurora can be visible in all directions but is likely positioned toward the southern horizon. In addition it covers the UK and Ireland, northern-mid Germany and Poland, the Netherlands and Belgium and northern France.

During active periods, visibility is likely to extend further south of these locations, especially at higher altitudes above 700m above sea level.

Aurora Conditions in 54 minutes:The Aurora will remain at the same reach.

Activating

The Aurora is activating and the magnetometer is sinking. Once the magnetometer drops rapidly and falls below 0nT the Aurora is active and should be visible to the naked eye if nT is -100nT or below, or a total nT dropped.

Northern Lights Solar Wind Data

Gauge
Speed
Gauge
Density
Gauge
IMF Bt
Gauge
IMF Bz
421.2km/s 0.11p/cm3 8.72nT -7.90nT

Solar Wind Bz Analysis

Under the current conditions, strong auroras may occur frequently within the next 30 minutes and beyond. Follow the below magnetometer graph.

As a reference, the Bz-index has been negative (south) for 100% of time, or a total of 62 minutes over the last 62 minutes with an average of -7.02 nT and a low of -7.94 nT. The Bz-Index is a key "ingredient" to the creation of the aurora, as it indicates whether energy is building up.

Magnetometer Data

Tromsø observatory
341.9 nT
Activating
Leirvogur observatory
190.7 nT
Inactive

Attention: Reykjavík (Leirvogur) Observatory is currently not reporting updated readings. This outage is on the Observatory side.

Aurora Chasers Info

This magnetometer section contains data from both the magnetometer in Tromsø and the magnetometer in Reykjavík (Leirvogi). These locations are at latitudes from 69 to 64 degrees north – the Arctic Circle is at 66 degrees north – and allow us to measure aurora activity over a wide area. With these two measurements, it is possible to identify the intensity and also the approximate location of the lights.

Tromsø (69° N): When the Tromsø magnetometer shows increased activity, increased aurora activity can be expected towards the northern (NNE to NNW) horizon. However, weather and atmospheric conditions can affect visibility.

Reykjavík (64° N): Increased readings here indicate northern lights near Iceland, often visible towards the Big Dipper (Ursa Major) (Kp2 to Kp3-4) or directly overhead or towards the southern horizon (Kp4 or higher), when viewed from Reykjavík. The further North you are in Iceland, the better the chances of seeing strong northern lights even with low Kp factors. Staying in the South, you need at least Kp2.

Magnetometer Reading Guide:

Inactivity: Auroras typically become visible when magnetometer readings approach or exceed ±50nT.

Charging Phase: When magnetometers rise above 50nT, it suggests that geomagnetic activity is increasing, and the field is "charging".

Substorm Activity (Active or Very Active): These are usually indicated by sharp drops in magnetometer readings, measuring a decline of 100nT from the starting position or falling below -100nT. Very active substorms will drop well below -250nT and lower.

Weakening Phase: After a substorm, if readings rise from below a negative value, it indicates that the energy is dissipating.

Key Points:

Positive readings above 50nT that are rising generally indicate building geomagnetic activity.

Visibility of the aurora by eye starts from ±50nT, depending on atmospheric conditions, light pollution and other factors.

Readings around or above 100nT suggest auroras might be visible whilst continuing to build energy.

Significant drops below -100nT or sudden changes in readings often signal substorm activity, meaning strong aurora displays.

By monitoring these readings, you can better predict and observe the mesmerizing auroras, whether you're a novice or a seasoned chaser. Always consider local weather conditions and light pollution for the best viewing experience.

Aurora Conditions in 54 minutes

Kp5-6

The Aurora will remain at the same reach.

The Kp5-6 will cover all of Iceland from 17:00. Viewed from Reykjavík, when active, the Aurora might be visible in all directions but might likely be positioned toward the southern horizon. In addition it might cover the UK and Ireland, northern-mid Germany and Poland, the Netherlands and Belgium and northern France.

During active periods, visibility is likely to extend further south of these locations, especially at higher altitudes above 700m above sea level.

Northern Lights Solar Wind Data

Gauge
Speed
Gauge
Density
Gauge
IMF Bt
Gauge
IMF Bz
426.3km/s 0.55p/cm3 8.90nT -6.42nT

Solar Wind Bz Analysis

Once these conditions arrive on earth, strong auroras may occur frequently once conditions have arrived on earth and propagated.

The Bz-index will be negative (south) for 100% of time, or a total of 54 minutes over the next 54 minutes with an average of -6.94 nT and a low of -7.81 nT.

The Bz-Index is a key "ingredient" to the creation of the aurora, as it indicates whether energy is building up.

3-Day Aurora Forecast by NOAA

TODAY
Time UTC Actual Kp Cond. met? Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 21
00:00-03:00
Kp 5-6
Over
Kp 4-5
Kp 1-2
Kp 1-2
03:00-06:00
Kp 5
Over
Kp 2-3
Kp 1-2
Kp 2
06:00-09:00
Kp 4
Over
Kp 2
Kp 1-2
Kp 2-3
09:00-12:00
Kp 5
Over
Kp 3-4
Kp 1-2
Kp 3
12:00-15:00
Kp 5-6
Over
Kp 4
Kp 1-2
Kp 3
15:00-18:00
Kp N/A
N/A
Kp 3-4
Kp 1-2
Kp 2-3
18:00-21:00
Kp N/A
N/A
Kp 2-3
Kp 1-2
Kp 2-3
21:00-00:00
Kp N/A
N/A
Kp 2
Kp 1-2
Kp 2-3
Source: SWPC NOAA 3-day Forecast
Details (English only): "Kp4-5 geomagnetic storms are possible on 19 Sep following periods of sustained southward Bz in the solar wind."